{"id":6745,"date":"2013-08-02T12:09:34","date_gmt":"2013-08-02T19:09:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/?p=6745"},"modified":"2016-12-21T07:28:29","modified_gmt":"2016-12-21T15:28:29","slug":"a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/","title":{"rendered":"A Foolproof Plan For True Market Timers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Quick question for market timers: Can you tell the difference between &#8220;imminent&#8221; and &#8220;imaginary&#8221; trends in the markets?<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s an important consideration, if you are a\u00a0<a title=\"Market Correction Calls Are Wasted Time\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/market-correction-calls-are-wasted-time\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">market timer<\/a>\u00a0at heart. For instance, a lot of folks bought gold in the last few years on the presumption that its ultimate triumph over all other asset classes was imminent.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-6746\" alt=\"market timers\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/As_seen_on_tv.jpg\" width=\"280\" height=\"196\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/As_seen_on_tv.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/As_seen_on_tv-300x210.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 280px) 100vw, 280px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>That one turned out to be imaginary, at least for now. Something similar happened to\u00a0<a title=\"Concentration Risk: Our Apple Call\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/concentration-risk-our-apple-call\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">Apple\u00a0stock<\/a>\u00a0investors. Once it broke that $1 trillion market cap, boy, the sky was the limit! Also, sadly for some, an imaginary outcome.<\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re going to be a market timer, you have have to be able to forecast the future. It&#8217;s a feat many people attempt every single day on financial cable TV.<\/p>\n<p>They rarely get checked on those\u00a0<a title=\"Retirement Investing vs. \u2018Performance Delusion\u2019\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/retirement-investing-vs-performance-delusion\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">market direction calls<\/a>, of course. But you know the language they use:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>&#8220;This stock is about to zoom higher.&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;Nobody loves this asset class, so I&#8217;m a buyer.&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;The Fed can&#8217;t keep this up. I&#8217;m going short&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;The Fed can keep this up. Short at your own risk!&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>And so on and so forth, filling up the airwaves with tons of blather quickly forgotten. Mostly, market timers are\u00a0money managers and, on occasion, business world celebrities and other well-known faces.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Limelight<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Some of these folks are serious about managing money. Many are not. Everything they discuss is, by definition, imminent. In practice, it&#8217;s often also imaginary. As it turns out, these are not mutually exclusive categories.<\/p>\n<p>So can anyone be a market timer? Sure, by trading trends in reverse. Rather than attempting to predict what will happen next, you own the market \u2014 using a variety of investments and asset classes via\u00a0<a title=\"What Is An Index Fund? Investing Basics\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/what-is-an-index-fund-investing-basics\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">index funds<\/a>\u00a0\u2014 and just wait.<\/p>\n<p>Eventually, the big wheels of the money world will turn, moving capital from one part of the market to another.\u00a0<a title=\"Hedge Funds? You\u2019re Better Off Playing Powerball\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/hedge-funds-youre-better-off-playing-powerball\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">Hedge funds<\/a>\u00a0do their thing. Big institutional investors get pushed around by changes in their models. People retire and cash out. Others come in to buy.<\/p>\n<p>A smart investor waits for opportunities to appear, and those opportunities are far more obvious in the rear-view mirror. As your initial portfolio gets distorted by events, you will be handed chance after chance to sell gainers and buy other, &#8220;unloved&#8221; assets on the cheap.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A simple approach<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>You don&#8217;t have to go all in to make it work. Just shave off the upside and buy things on the downside as you go using a\u00a0<a title=\"How To Invest Money In Volatile Markets\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/how-to-invest-money-in-volatile-markets\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">simple rebalancing approach<\/a>. Keep costs low and be patient. In time, your chance to make the trades that matter will appear.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s little glory in incremental moves, I know. But a low-cost,\u00a0<a title=\"Low Stress Investing: Get More, and Relax\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/low-stress-investing-get-more-and-relax\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">low-stress trading portfolio<\/a>\u00a0using\u00a0<a title=\"What Is An ETF? Three Simple Answers\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/what-is-an-etf-three-simple-answers\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">inexpensive\u00a0ETFs<\/a>\u00a0can get you the\u00a0<a title=\"Key to Retirement Success Is Compounding\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/key-to-retirement-success-is-compounding\/?utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_term=2013-08-02-a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">compounding return performance<\/a>\u00a0you need to retire on time, no TV watching required.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Quick question for market timers: Can you tell the difference between &#8220;imminent&#8221; and &#8220;imaginary&#8221; trends in the markets? It&#8217;s an important consideration, if you are a\u00a0market timer\u00a0at heart. For instance, &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/a-foolproof-plan-for-true-market-timers\/\">Read more <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":6746,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_wp_rev_ctl_limit":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.6.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>A Foolproof Plan For True Market Timers | MarketRiders.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Quick question for market timers: Can you tell the difference between &quot;imminent&quot; and &quot;imaginary&quot; trends in the markets?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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