{"id":5707,"date":"2013-01-21T20:22:22","date_gmt":"2013-01-22T04:22:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/?p=5707"},"modified":"2016-12-21T07:30:47","modified_gmt":"2016-12-21T15:30:47","slug":"five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s always fascinating when people attempt to forecast the future. Who will go to the Super Bowl. College hoops bracketology.<\/p>\n<p>If you want to waste a good hour of Internet time, take a look at some of the discussions at online predictions markets\u00a0<a title=\"Intrade.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.intrade.com\/v4\/home\/\" target=\"_blank\">such as InTrade<\/a>. Best Picture Oscar guesses are side-by-side with the eventual departure of some European country from the euro.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s a lot of to be said for\u00a0<a title=\"The Wisdom of Crowds\" href=\"http:\/\/books.google.com\/books\/about\/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds.html?id=Jrhsf5WlBxMC\" target=\"_blank\">collective wisdom<\/a>\u00a0when it comes to stocks. Which is why it&#8217;s all the more alarming to read about the astounding flubs of individual money managers.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/crystal_ball_may_2009\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5709\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-5709\" alt=\"Crystal_ball_May_2009\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Crystal_ball_May_2009-800x533.jpg\" width=\"512\" height=\"341\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Crystal_ball_May_2009-800x533.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Crystal_ball_May_2009-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Crystal_ball_May_2009.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 512px) 100vw, 512px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Many said the euro would collapse in 2012. That U.S. bonds would crater. U.S. stocks would slip.\u00a0China\u00a0stocks would boom higher.<\/p>\n<p>These\u00a0<a title=\"Almost All Of Wall Street Got The 2012 Market Calls Wrong\" href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/wall-street-got-2012-market-calls-wrong-2013-1\" target=\"_blank\">poor guesses, among others<\/a>, are likely to be recycled again and again in the coming years. Eventually one or another will start to look right. Woe to you if you invested on those forecasts in 2012, however.<\/p>\n<p>Not to be left out, here are five completely fearless predictions for 2013. Feel free to recycle them for any time period you like. They have no expiration date.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Prediction No. 1:<\/strong>\u00a0Stocks\u00a0will go up and stocks will go down. Of this you can be absolutely certain. People have the impression from looking at long-term charts that stocks must be on a general slope upward\u00a0<a title=\"Sentiment Investing: You Can\u2019t Win If You Don\u2019t Finish\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/sentiment-investing-you-cant-win-if-you-dont-finish\/\" target=\"_blank\">without a hiccup or a setback along the way<\/a>. Focus in on shorter periods, and of course this is never true. Nevertheless, you will collect dividends along the way and, over the long run, make a good return by staying invested, rather than hopping in and out.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Prediction No. 2:<\/strong>\u00a0Investors will overdo it. It&#8217;s impossible to say which asset class will be targeted by the herd, but it will be one or more and the effect of so much silly money will be clear when it happens. Perhaps not clear enough for you to get in early and get out in time, but in retrospect it will be painfully obvious that the chance to trade the wave has passed. You should let it go.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Prediction No. 3:<\/strong>\u00a0You will\u00a0<a title=\"Ben Stein: Index Funds \u2018Overwhelmingly\u2019 Superior\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/ben-stein-passive-investing-overwhelmingly-superior\/\" target=\"_blank\">zig when everyone else zags<\/a>. Been lucky in the market direction guesses of late? Had a good run? Well, that&#8217;s over. Whatever your track record has been and for however long you&#8217;ve been at it, you&#8217;re going to stumble this year (or next) and you won&#8217;t like it one bit.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Prediction No. 4:<\/strong>\u00a0Calamity is certain. Anybody who ever predicted 12 months of peace and calm has never lived a year on Earth. It&#8217;s okay, though. Things happen, people get by, and we try to learn from our mistakes.\u00a0There will be at least one earth-shattering change nobody expected. Terror attacks, tsunamis, oil spills \u2014 all of this is out of your control.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Prediction No. 5:<\/strong>\u00a0This too shall pass. Whatever it is, it will pass.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a title=\"Are You Smarter Than a House Cat?\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/are-you-smarter-than-a-house-cat\/\" target=\"_blank\">How does an intelligent investor prepare for such times<\/a>?\u00a0The fact is, you don&#8217;t. It&#8217;s much simpler and more effective to build a solid asset allocation and let the markets do whatever they are going to do.<\/p>\n<p>You might get handed some unexpected gains, and you might sustain some temporary paper losses. Rebalancing is the trick that\u00a0<a title=\"Robert Arnott: Leave Emotions Out of Investing\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/robert-arnott-leave-emotions-out-of-investing\/\">allows you to capitalize on the unpredictable nature of the markets<\/a>\u00a0in order to secure your retirement goals.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s always fascinating when people attempt to forecast the future. Who will go to the Super Bowl. College hoops bracketology. If you want to waste a good hour of Internet &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/\">Read more <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":5709,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_wp_rev_ctl_limit":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.6.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013 | MarketRiders.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"How does an intelligent investor prepare for such market predictions? The fact is, you don&#039;t.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013 | MarketRiders.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"How does an intelligent investor prepare for such market predictions? The fact is, you don&#039;t.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Crystal_ball_May_2009.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@marketriders\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@marketriders\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"MarketRiders\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/\",\"name\":\"Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013 | MarketRiders.com\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2013-01-22T04:22:22+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2016-12-21T15:30:47+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#\/schema\/person\/f2be262f5c0f3ed5ad50d6c40640ba8c\"},\"description\":\"How does an intelligent investor prepare for such market predictions? The fact is, you don't.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/\",\"name\":\"MarketRiders.com\",\"description\":\"How To Become A Better Investor\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#\/schema\/person\/f2be262f5c0f3ed5ad50d6c40640ba8c\",\"name\":\"MarketRiders\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8e06113f594828daaf313d283544d566?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8e06113f594828daaf313d283544d566?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"MarketRiders\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/author\/support\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013 | MarketRiders.com","description":"How does an intelligent investor prepare for such market predictions? The fact is, you don't.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013 | MarketRiders.com","twitter_description":"How does an intelligent investor prepare for such market predictions? The fact is, you don't.","twitter_image":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/Crystal_ball_May_2009.jpg","twitter_creator":"@marketriders","twitter_site":"@marketriders","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"MarketRiders","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/","url":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/","name":"Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013 | MarketRiders.com","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#website"},"datePublished":"2013-01-22T04:22:22+00:00","dateModified":"2016-12-21T15:30:47+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#\/schema\/person\/f2be262f5c0f3ed5ad50d6c40640ba8c"},"description":"How does an intelligent investor prepare for such market predictions? The fact is, you don't.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/five-fearless-market-predictions-for-2013\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Five Fearless Market Predictions for 2013"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/","name":"MarketRiders.com","description":"How To Become A Better Investor","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#\/schema\/person\/f2be262f5c0f3ed5ad50d6c40640ba8c","name":"MarketRiders","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8e06113f594828daaf313d283544d566?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8e06113f594828daaf313d283544d566?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"MarketRiders"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.marketriders.com"],"url":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/author\/support\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5707"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5707"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5707\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5715,"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5707\/revisions\/5715"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5707"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5707"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.marketriders.com\/investing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5707"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}