The big drop – did you yawn or did you freak?

Posted on May 15, 2010 at 8:12 AM PDT by

On May 6th of last week, the markets shocked the world with a never-seen-before event – a 1000-point drop in a mere sixteen short minutes. During those brief moments and the hours following, financial programs on TV and radio featured pundits whose heads were spinning while seeking to comprehend how 10% of the market’s value could vanish in minutes.

And of course, a plethora of explanations quickly followed. We heard about the “fat thumb” scenario describing a trader who, keying in the wrong trade, sold billions of shares instead of millions, triggered the collapse. One of the more interesting explanations is a truly bizarre account involving Nassim Taleb, trader and author of “The Black Swan,” a book that discusses high-impact, impossible-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations. According to this grand irony, Taleb’s fund placed a sizable S&P short that got the ball rolling for Thursday’s violent selling — creating his own “black swan.” In the end, however, the 1000-point drop remains a mystery, and in the absence of any truly credible and complete explanation, market fear has been resurrected.

More important than understanding the cause of this event is understanding how you responded to it. Did you yawn, or did you freak? For those who live by the market’s vicissitudes, May 6th was an apoplectic ride on a terrifying roller coaster. With each swing of the market, such investors sit glued to the ticker, at one moment thrilled, the next gripped by dread. For those of us who are MarketRiders, such days produce a yawn.

With our investments sheltered by a distant time horizon, low fees and smart diversification, we are free to go about the more important business of our lives. Some investors prefer drama. We prefer peace-of-mind.




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